Match Info

Division 2 - Round 32

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Skra Częstochowa		Rekord Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.85
	3.1	3.45	2.04
	3.1	3.65	2.29
	3.28	3.65	2.06
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.35	3.56	2.04	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.19)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
28.2%

Draw
26.5%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.1%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Skra Częstochowa - Rekord Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bielsko-Biała will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Skra Częstochowa (votes: 2 - 50%). Bielsko-Biała (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Warszakowski B. (G)
77. Kolodziejczyk P.
18. Lesniak-Paduch N.
3. Majewski R.
16. Niedbala J.
7. Nocon P. (C)
97. Okusami J.
26. Sobczak K.
13. Waclawek B.
98. Wirenski J.
8. Wrobel M.
Substitutes
6. Araujo Guilherme J. L.
31. Estigarribia
1. Kramarz F. (G)
23. Lawrynowicz I.
5. Owczarek P.
37. Rogala K.
53. Szywacz W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ciucka J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Swiderski D. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

No spectators.

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Skra Częstochowa is Relegated to

Skra Częstochowa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bielsko-Biała's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bielsko-Biała may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bielsko-Biała could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
16.05.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Skra Częstochowa - Wieczysta Kraków	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Wisła Puławy - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTLWL
- Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 2
10.05.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
17.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Elbląg	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Hutnik - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
27.10.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	2:2
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.04.18	Skra Częstochowa - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:0
12.08.17	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
20.08.16	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	1:1

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