Match Info

Division 2 - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Skra Częstochowa		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.1
	3.5	3.45	1.91	Watch
	3.91	3.78	1.84
	3.51	3.57	2	Watch
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.99	3.46	1.89	Watch
	3.5	3.45	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.26)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
26.6%

Draw
26.7%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.4%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Skra Częstochowa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Warszakowski B. (G) 77. Kolodziejczyk P. 18. Lesniak-Paduch N. 3. Majewski R. 16. Niedbala J. 7. Nocon P. (C) 97. Okusami J. 26. Sobczak K. 53. Szywacz W. 13. Waclawek B. 8. Wrobel M.	87. Siuta K. (G) 9. Bilinski K. (C) 27. Borun B. 2. Bykov O. 3. Janiszewski G. 4. Kurtovic R. 8. Marciniec P. 11. Snopczynski B. 13. Sukhotskyi A. 16. Wasiluk B. 77. Zawojski B.
Substitutes
10. Garcia B. 19. Kaczmar M. 1. Kramarz F. (G) 23. Lawrynowicz I. 5. Owczarek P. 37. Rogala K. 98. Wirenski J. . Wrobel	22. Acosta M. 23. Checinski B. 19. Duda M. 33. Kos M. (G) 10. Mularczyk P. 6. Niewulis A. 20. Pawlusinski M. 80. Uchnast L. 7. Zalewski S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Niedbala J. ⚽,
43', Majewski R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Wasiluk B. 🟨,
58', Szywacz W. ↓, Wirenski J. ↑,
66', Wasiluk B. ↓, Pawlusinski M. ↑,
67', Okusami J. 🟨,
68', Wrobel M. ↓, Lawrynowicz I. ↑,
68', Waclawek B. ↓, Owczarek P. ↑,
72', Lawrynowicz I. 🟨,
75', Zawojski B. ↓, Uchnast L. ↑,
81', Okusami J. ↓, Rogala K. ↑,
84', Bilinski K. ↓, Niewulis A. ↑,
84', Janiszewski G. ↓, Checinski B. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Bykov O. ⚽,
90+5', Kolodziejczyk P. 🟨,

Preview

No spectators.

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skra Częstochowa won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Skra Częstochowa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Skra Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
03.05.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Skra Częstochowa - Wieczysta Kraków	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Wisła Puławy - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Skra Częstochowa	5:3 ✺
04.04.25	Skra Częstochowa - Swit Skolwin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLLL
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
03.05.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Swit Skolwin	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
12.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	4:1
Polish Division 1
12.03.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	0:1
Club Friendly
18.01.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	2:3
Polish Division 1
13.08.22	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0
20.03.22	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2
04.09.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	0:0

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