Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Sliema Wanderers		Valletta

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.1	2.92	Watch
	2.61	3	2.81
	2.70	2.93	2.70	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.73)	3.03 ↓ (3.45)	2.86 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sliema Wanderers
37.6%

Draw
30.3%

Valletta
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sliema Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sliema Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valletta's recent form is better than expected.

Sliema Wanderers - Valletta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Tumi R. (G) 17. Bah M. 2. Borg J. 94. Fernandinho 98. Miguel Baggio 31. Murilo Henrique 7. Overend A. 70. Pisani S. (C) 9. Plut V. 12. Prsa R. 93. Thiaguinho	90. Maringa Adilson (G) 4. Borg S. 28. Brewer S. 94. Jefferson 98. Mendoza J. 44. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri
Substitutes
18. Agius E. 25. Agu E. (G) 11. Beerman M. 4. Belfiore J. F. 42. Diarra B. 5. Frendo N. 15. Gustavo Alcino 6. Hijazi U. 1. Lauri F. (G) 14. Nwoko K. 21. Strickland N.	1. Aquilina T. (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 19. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 80. Gomes E. 33. Mbende E. 31. Melillo T. 24. Muscat R. 8. Zammit A.
Coaches
Zammit P.	Micallef T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Fernandinho 🟨,
22', Yankam Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Yankam Y. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
59', Yuri ↓, Azzopardi J. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Bah M. ⚽,
73', Micallef N. ↓, Ciolacu A. ↑,
73', Jefferson ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,
73', Mendoza J. ↓, Gomes E. ↑,
77', Fernandinho ↓, Gustavo Alcino ↑,
83', Plut V. ↓, Diarra B. ↑,
86', Radic S. 🟨,
90+3', Al Tumi R. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Gomes E. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 1.

Sliema Wanderers could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sliema Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
16.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Birkirkara	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sliema Wanderers - Mosta	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Sliema Wanderers	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Sliema Wanderers - Floriana	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWL
- Valletta FC
Maltese Premier League
16.09.25	Floriana - Valletta	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Valletta - Marsaxlokk	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Hamrun Spartans - Valletta	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Valletta - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.04.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
03.02.24	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	1:1
24.09.23	Sliema Wanderers - Valletta	1:0
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Sliema Wanderers - Valletta	0:1
Maltese Premier League
10.04.22	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	3:1
26.02.22	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	1:0
20.11.21	Sliema Wanderers - Valletta	2:1
03.02.21	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	0:0

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