Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Barbara E. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Sliema Wanderers		Floriana

	1	X	2
	2.92	3	2.28	Watch
	3.07	2.96	2.37
	3.02	3.03	2.35	Watch
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.03	2.92	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	2.33 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sliema Wanderers
30.2%

Draw
30.8%

Floriana
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.9%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Sliema Wanderers - Floriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Tumi R. (G) 77. Awad M. 2. Borg J. 11. Djuranovic U. 94. Fernandinho 15. Gustavo Alcino 7. Overend A. 70. Pisani S. 12. Prsa R. 19. Seruca A. 93. Thiaguinho	23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 9. Dervisagic K. 8. Grech J. 14. Kurtalic A. 15. Mabea K. 88. Mbong P. 34. Mendonca I. 24. M'Mombwa C. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C)
Substitutes
18. Agius E. 25. Agu E. (G) 6. Belfiore J. F. 5. Frendo N. 1. Lauri F. (G) 95. Marcelo Santos 3. Micallef N. 10. Montebello L. 31. Murilo Henrique 21. Strickland N. 20. Wescley	4. Antonio Lara 94. Areias R. 99. Attard D. 25. Gamarra G. 6. Joyce N. 1. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 17. Spiteri O. 27. Vella Newell Z. 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
Coaches
Doffo P.	Portela D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Overend A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Overend A. ↓, Wescley ↑,
64', Fernandinho 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Varela F. ⚽,
72', Mabea K. ↓, Zammit Lonardelli C. ↑,
73', Prsa R. ↓, Marcelo Santos ↑,
75', M'Mombwa C. 🟨,
79', Fernandinho ↓, Montebello L. ↑,
83', Dervisagic K. ↓, Areias R. ↑,
84', Kurtalic A. 🟨,
90+3', Vella D. 🟨,
90+3', Mbong P. ↓, Antonio Lara ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).

Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Sliema Wanderers has had a series of away games.

Floriana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sliema Wanderers won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	9	13
7	Sliema	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	0:1 ✺
17.02.26	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Naxxar Lions - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTTW
- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
01.03.26	Hamrun Spartans - Floriana	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Floriana - Paola Hibernians	4:1 ✺
18.02.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Floriana - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gżira United - Floriana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
20.12.25	Floriana - Sliema Wanderers	2:1
01.11.25	Floriana - Sliema Wanderers	2:2
09.05.25	Sliema Wanderers - Floriana	0:4
06.04.25	Floriana - Sliema Wanderers	0:2
22.02.25	Sliema Wanderers - Floriana	1:2
17.12.24	Floriana - Sliema Wanderers	1:0
01.11.24	Floriana - Sliema Wanderers	0:0

Sliema Wanderers - Floriana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide