Match Info

Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Showgrounds (Sligo)

Referee: Patchell A. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Sligo Rovers		Bohemians Dublin

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.7	1.57	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.7
	5.3	3.85	1.58
	5.86	4.2	1.6
	5.45	4.12	1.6	Watch
	5	3.8	1.57
	5.35	4.05	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↑ (4.57)	3.9 ↑ (3.49)	1.6 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sligo Rovers
17.8%

Draw
23.9%

Bohemians Dublin
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

26.5%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bohemians Dublin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin Predictions

Users Predictions: Bohemians Dublin will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sargeant S. (G) 15. Denham O. 52. McElroy G. 17. McHale S. 33. Esua J. 16. McHugh C. 7. Fitzgerald W. (C) 5. Blaney S. 71. Patton D. 28. O'Kane R. 11. Kavanagh C.	1. Chorazka K. (G) 24. Byrne C. 12. Hickey P. 22. Todd S. 16. Power D. 10. Devoy D. (C) 5. Diallo S. 11. Rooney D. 26. Tierney R. 18. James-Taylor D. 8. Vaughan H.
Substitutes
61. Cannon C. 51. Gabbidon A. 1. Hughes L. (G) 49. Kelly O. 23. McDonagh K. 32. McGarvey C. (G) 19. Nolan A. 63. Priosti G. 24. Traore M.	3. Burke R. 6. Flores J. 20. Kavanagh L. 17. McDonnell A. 4. Morahan N. 23. Myers Z. 7. Parsons C. 25. Walters P. (G) 9. Whelan C.
Coaches
Russell J.	Reynolds A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, James-Taylor D. ⚽, Vaughan H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kavanagh C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
46', James-Taylor D. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
46', Rooney D. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Whelan C. ⚽, Vaughan H. (A),
54', 1 - 2, O'Kane R. ⚽, Fitzgerald W. (A),
62', Byrne C. 🟨,
66', Denham O. ↓, Nolan A. ↑,
70', Vaughan H. ↓, Parsons C. ↑,
74', Diallo S. 🟨,
75', Nolan A. 🟨,
77', Diallo S. ↓, Morahan N. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Parsons C. ⚽, Devoy D. (A),
87', Power D. ↓, McDonnell A. ↑,
90+1', Fitzgerald W. ↓, McDonagh K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 2.

In recent matches, Sligo Rovers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bohemians is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sligo Rovers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bohemians is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sligo Rovers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.6:1.5).

Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now

Bohemians: 20.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bohemians	32	17	8	7	57:38	19	59
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	24:54	-30	23

Last Results with these Odds

Bohemians Dublin - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.23%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division
22.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Sligo Rovers - Galway United	1:4 ✺
08.05.26	Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Sligo Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Drogheda United - Sligo Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WLTTL
- Bohemians Dublin
Irish Premier Division
25.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Galway United - Bohemians Dublin	2:4 ✺
15.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Drogheda United	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Dundalk - Bohemians Dublin	1:3 ✺
04.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
10.04.26	Bohemians Dublin - Sligo Rovers	1:2
14.02.26	Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	0:4
30.08.25	Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	0:0
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.25	Bohemians Dublin - Sligo Rovers	0:1
Irish Premier Division
27.06.25	Bohemians Dublin - Sligo Rovers	1:1
10.05.25	Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	0:1
04.04.25	Bohemians Dublin - Sligo Rovers	4:2

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