Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Slough Town		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.9	1.9
	3.6	3.75	1.87	Watch
	3.68	4.09	1.88
	3.68	4.1	1.88
	3.6	3.8	1.83	Watch
	3.68	3.88	1.88	Watch
	3.65	3.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (4.19)	3.88 ↑ (3.84)	1.87 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
25.7%

Draw
24.2%

Grimsby Town
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

24.3%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

22.5%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Slough Town - Grimsby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luthra R. (G) 2. Jackman J. 5. Bayliss D. 16. Eweka T. 17. Dyce T. 10. Goddard J. 18. Sundire M. 12. Chambers-Parillon L. 14. Davies S. 8. Lench M. (C) 24. Alexander G.	1. Cartwright H. (G) 2. Efete M. 5. Rodgers H. 31. Maher N. 22. Amos D. 19. Andrews J. 42. Conteh K. 15. Clifton H. 25. Wilson D. 32. Rose D. (C) 7. Eisa A.
Substitutes
4. Dandy J. 11. Hutchinson D. 15. McElroy T. 9. Minhas N. 13. North R. (G) 23. Ogbonna D. 19. Platt M. 6. Prosper J. 26. Spicer O.	3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 12. Eastwood J. (G) 14. Gnahoua A. 4. Green K. 29. Hunt A. 11. Khan O. 28. Mullarkey T. 9. Pyke R. 6. Waterfall L.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Slough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grimsby has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grimsby will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
28.10.23	Eastbourne Borough - Slough Town	3:3 ✺
24.10.23	St Albans City - Slough Town	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Ebbsfleet United - Slough Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLTWT
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
28.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Grimsby Town - Colchester United	2:3 ✺
21.10.23	Stockport County - Grimsby Town	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Grimsby Town - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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