Match Info

National League South - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Slough Town

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.45	5.5
	1.45	4.69	6.21
	1.45	4.71	5.95	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.47	4.35	6.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	4.48 ↑ (4.33)	5.98 ↑ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
63.8%

Draw
20.7%

Slough Town
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

20.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ebbsfleet United - Slough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Roth D. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Appiah K. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 2 - 1, Coley J. ⚽,
90+9', Oshilaja K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 2.

Recent performances by Ebbsfleet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Slough is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ebbsfleet is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Ebbsfleet: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ebbsfleet	6	3	3	0	7:3	4	12
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
21.03.26	Ebbsfleet United - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
17.03.26	Maidenhead United - Ebbsfleet United	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Eastbourne Borough - Ebbsfleet United	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Ebbsfleet United - Torquay United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- Slough Town
English National League South
21.03.26	Farnborough - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Slough Town - Salisbury	3:3 ✺
10.03.26	Slough Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Hornchurch - Slough Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.08.25	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0
14.10.23	Ebbsfleet United - Slough Town	2:2
English National League South
25.03.23	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
03.12.22	Ebbsfleet United - Slough Town	2:0
12.02.22	Ebbsfleet United - Slough Town	1:2
09.10.21	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:3

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