Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Grimsby Town		Slough Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.6	6.25
	1.42	4.75	6	Watch
	1.45	4.93	6.16
	1.46	4.93	6.16
	1.4	4.4	5.8
	1.44	4.75	6.35	Watch
	1.5	4.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	4.68 ↑ (4.63)	6.08 ↑ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
64.6%

Draw
20%

Slough Town
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.6%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Slough Town aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Grimsby Town - Slough Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Slough will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cartwright H. (G) 28. Mullarkey T. 6. Waterfall L. (C) 31. Maher N. 8. Holohan G. 4. Green K. 19. Andrews J. 22. Amos D. 32. Rose D. 9. Pyke R. 14. Gnahoua A.	1. Luthra R. (G) 2. Jackman J. (C) 5. Bayliss D. 16. Eweka T. 17. Dyce T. 18. Sundire M. 14. Davies S. 8. Lench M. 23. Ogbonna D. 19. Platt M. 10. Goddard J.
Substitutes
16. Ainley C. 38. Bramwell J. 42. Conteh K. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 12. Eastwood J. (G) 33. Gardner C. 29. Hunt A. 5. Rodgers H. 25. Wilson D.	7. Abisogun G. 24. Alexander G. 12. Chambers-Parillon L. 4. Dandy J. 11. Hutchinson D. 9. Minhas N. 13. North R. (G) 6. Prosper J. 26. Spicer O.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Grimsby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Slough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grimsby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grimsby is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
11.11.23	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Slough Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Grimsby Town - Colchester United	2:3 ✺
21.10.23	Stockport County - Grimsby Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLL
- Slough Town
English National League South
11.11.23	Welling United - Slough Town	4:3 ✺
07.11.23	Slough Town - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Slough Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English National League South
28.10.23	Eastbourne Borough - Slough Town	3:3 ✺
24.10.23	St Albans City - Slough Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
05.11.23	Slough Town - Grimsby Town	1:1

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