Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Worthing		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5
	1.5	4	5
	1.55	4.33	5
	1.52	4.51	5.44
	1.5	4	5
	1.6	4.76	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	4.28 ↑ (4.2)	5.13 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
60.4%

Draw
21.6%

Havant & Waterlooville
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

22.4%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Worthing - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 2)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Worthing won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Havant could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Worthing have a series of guest games.

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Worthing won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
07.09.24	Worthing - Hornchurch	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	Boreham Wood - Worthing	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	2:3 ✺
26.08.24	Truro City - Worthing	5:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWLT
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
07.09.24	Bracknell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Totton	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Swindon Supermarine - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
14.08.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Chertsey Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	1:5
07.11.23	Worthing - Havant & Waterlooville	3:0
25.03.23	Worthing - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2
03.12.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	1:5
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.16	Worthing - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2
27.09.16	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	2:2

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