Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 24

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Smedby		Nyköping

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.60	1.77
	3.7	3.6	1.8
	3.59	3.74	1.78
	3.68	3.9	1.79	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.69
	3.83	4.34	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.7)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)	1.77 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smedby
24.9%

Draw
23.9%

Nyköping
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

25.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

23.9%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smedby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smedby's form might have worsened.

Nyköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nyköping's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smedby than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smedby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyköping than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nyköping, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Smedby - Nyköping Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Tidblom J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Holm M. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smedby won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Smedby (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nyköping has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nyköping could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nyköping holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Smedby has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Smedby against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 3:8 goals (averaging 0.8:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nykopings	24	13	4	7	39:23	16	43
7	Smedby	24	10	6	8	41:33	8	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Smedby AIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
27.09.26	Haninge - Smedby	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Smedby - Fittja	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Farsta - Smedby	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nacka FC - Smedby	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Smedby - Forward	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTW
- Nyköpings BIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
19.09.26	Örebro Syrianska - Nyköping	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Nyköping - Eker Örebro	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Lindö - Nyköping	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Nyköping - Rågsved	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Haninge - Nyköping	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
15.06.26	Nyköping - Smedby	0:1
19.09.25	Smedby - Nyköping	2:2
16.06.25	Nyköping - Smedby	0:1
07.04.24	Nyköping - Smedby	2:1
26.05.23	Smedby - Nyköping	0:2
06.08.22	Smedby - Nyköping	1:2
15.04.22	Nyköping - Smedby	1:0

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