The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smedby 15.8%
Draw 19.5%
Sleipner 64.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.7%
25.6%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
24.8%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smedby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smedby's form might have worsened.
Sleipner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sleipner's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smedby than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smedby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sleipner than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sleipner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Smedby - Sleipner Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Olausson L. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Ibrahimovic A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Matic O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 1 - 3, Matic O. ⚽,
61', Brannerud W. 🟥,
84', 1 - 4, Kojic A. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 5, Matic O. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smedby won 0.
Smedby is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Sleipner have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Smedby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sleipner holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Smedby has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:13 (averaging 1.5:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Smedby against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.5:1.8 per game).