Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 16

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Gomel 2

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	3.45
	1.62	4.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.79)	4.05 ↓ (4.3)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
52.7%

Draw
22.3%

Gomel 2
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

21.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

21.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Gomel 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel 2 than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Perov D. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. (C) 5. Elagin K. 30. Fartuna B. 2. Intsoen C. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 23. Stankevich A. 25. Yarotskiy Y. 20. Zhabrakov D.	88. Voropaev V. (G) 2. Bondarchuk A. 7. Drozdov M. 10. Kovalev I. 17. Krivorot S. 3. Lipnitskiy K. 77. Mayorov N. 15. Rakhmatov A. 8. Sergutko P. 20. Shapovalov R. 9. Starostenko N. (C)
Substitutes
22. Galko V. 78. Kovalevich V. 47. Kukhley R. 99. Malashenko G. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 11. Sivkov I. 27. Tishko A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G) 9. Yablonskiy M.	21. Gegechkori D. 72. Grishkov D. 87. Ivanenko V. (G) 14. Kabysh M. 33. Nanaev V. 27. Tishkov E. 30. Yudenko E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', 🟨,
45+1', Krivorot S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Stankevich A. ↓, Kovalevich V. ↑,
46', Zhabrakov D. ↓, Yablonskiy M. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Yablonskiy M. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
86', 2 - 0, Nsangou J. ⚽,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).

Smorgon has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gomel 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Smorgon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smorgon could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33
17	FC Gomel 2	27	5	6	16	36:55	-19	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Smorgon - Minsk	3:4 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
11.07.26	Orsha - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Smorgon - Volna Pinsk	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Smorgon - Soligorsk	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	BumProm Gomel - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLWL
- FC Gomel 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.07.26	Gomel 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:1 ✺
03.07.26	Minsk 2 - Gomel 2	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	Gomel 2 - Osipovichi	5:2 ✺
19.06.26	Lida - Gomel 2	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Gomel 2 - Niva Dolbizno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWLL

Smorgon - Gomel 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide