Match Info

Belarusian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Minsk

	1	X	2
	7.50	5.25	1.28
	6.19	4.71	1.35
	6.10	4.65	1.34
	9.99	6.49	1.21	Watch
	8.00	5.60	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.56 ↓ (16.5)	5.34 ↓ (6.2)	1.28 ↑ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
12%

Draw
17%

Minsk
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

5.5%

14.7%

79.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.

Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Smorgon - Minsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Denisenko A. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. (C) 5. Elagin K. 30. Fartuna B. 2. Intsoen C. 78. Kovalevich V. 23. Stankevich A. 25. Yarotskiy Y. 20. Zhabrakov D.	37. Sukharenko M. (G) 6. Abena F. 9. Dieye M. 29. Dubinets I. 14. Ernisov E. 88. Jarjue Kabia A. 80. Ksenofontov A. 19. Kuchinskiy K. 3. Sokol A. (C) 79. Sviridenko I. 15. Yatskevich V.
Substitutes
22. Galko V. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 47. Kukhley R. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 11. Sivkov I. 27. Tishko A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G) 9. Yablonskiy M.	13. Aleksievich I. 30. Gutor A. (G) 4. Khadarkevich R. 22. Makas A. 33. Malitskiy K. 32. Malyutin V. 24. Matusevich S. 8. Migdalenok A. 77. Osipenko D. 20. Sheremet P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Dukso M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Dieye M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Sokol A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Fartuna B. (Penalty Awarded),
61', 2 - 2, Yablonskiy M. ⚽,
68', 2 - 3, Makas A. ⚽,
89', 3 - 3, Nsangou J. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 4, Migdalenok A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Minsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Minsk is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
11.07.26	Orsha - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Smorgon - Volna Pinsk	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Smorgon - Soligorsk	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	BumProm Gomel - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Smorgon - Minsk 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWLW
- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.07.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Minsk - Dinamo Minsk	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	Dinamo Brest - Minsk	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Minsk - ML Vitebsk	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Baranovichi - Minsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.10.25	Minsk - Smorgon	2:2
01.06.25	Smorgon - Minsk	0:2
18.08.24	Smorgon - Minsk	1:1
05.04.24	Minsk - Smorgon	2:3
05.11.23	Smorgon - Minsk	0:0
10.06.23	Minsk - Smorgon	2:1
28.11.21	Smorgon - Minsk	1:0

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