Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 9

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)

Referee: Shimusik V. (Blr)


	Smorgon		Slavia Mozyr

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.5	1.62
	5.47	3.64	1.69
	5	3.3	1.67
	5.7	3.6	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↑ (4.98)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
17.8%

Draw
26.4%

Slavia Mozyr
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

26.6%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

26.2%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Slavia Mozyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smorgon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Slavia Mozyr will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smorgon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Smorgon (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Smorgon (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koltygin A. (G) 5. Firsov A. 20. Tonkevich V. 3. Intsoen C. 77. Bogdanovich I. 2. Bamba M. 7. Levkovets A. (C) 27. Tishko A. 8. Maslovskiy V. 63. Rakhimov A. 10. Sodikov S.	41. Plotnikov M. (G) 22. Lukashov A. 44. Lutsevich T. 12. Ivanov A. 18. Melnikov N. 9. Batyshchev O. 30. Likhtin V. 8. Kukharchik I. 49. Dzhigero A. (C) 13. Poloz V. 31. Solovey A.
Substitutes
19. Azarko M. (G) 26. Bini K. 9. Chebotar V. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 6. Doumbia S. 23. Stankevich A.	17. Bamba L. 27. Chikida P. 3. Davydov V. 6. Kuznetsov Y. 59. Ryabykh N. 5. Sachkovskiy M. 14. Sazonchik S. 23. Shelikov D. (G)
Coaches
Dorokhovich S.	Bionchik I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Rakhimov A. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Sodikov S. ↓, Stankevich A. ↑,
55', Tonkevich V. 🟥,
56', Kukharchik I. (Pen),
56', 0 - 1, Kukharchik I. ⚽,
58', Likhtin V. 🟨,
60', Melnikov N. 🟨,
66', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Doumbia S. ↑,
66', Bamba M. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
69', Lukashov A. ↓, Chikida P. ↑,
69', Stankevich A. 🟨,
74', Poloz V. ↓, Davydov V. ↑,
74', Likhtin V. ↓, Sazonchik S. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Solovey A. ⚽, Kukharchik I. (A),
88', Batyshchev O. ↓, Sachkovskiy M. ↑,
89', Solovey A. ↓, Bamba L. ↑,
90+2', Kukharchik I. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0.

Smorgon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Slavia Mozyr has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Smorgon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Slavia Mozyr is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.05.25	Neman Grodno - Smorgon	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Naftan - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
21.04.25	ML Vitebsk - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Dinamo Brest - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WLLLL
- Slavia Mozyr
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
12.05.25	Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Dinamo Brest - Slavia Mozyr	3:1 ✺
25.04.25	Slavia Mozyr - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Slutsk - Slavia Mozyr	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Slavia Mozyr - Dinamo Minsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.10.24	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	0:0
31.05.24	Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr	3:3
26.08.23	Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr	0:2
14.04.23	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	4:1
31.07.21	Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr	0:2
04.04.21	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	1:1
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
01.09.18	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	6:0

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