Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 21

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Cheremnykh M. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Sochi		KAMAZ

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.26	7.86
	1.45	4.15	7.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	4.21 ↑ (4.2)	7.63 ↑ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
65.1%

Draw
22.5%

KAMAZ
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

22.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

20.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for KAMAZ have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Sochi - KAMAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degtev A. (G) 59. Bart R. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 17. Makarchuk A. 11. Meleshin P. 21. Saavedra I. 27. Zaika K. (C)	31. Anisimov A. (G) 4. Abramov A. 53. Deryugin A. 33. Fartuna B. 22. Gorelov P. 23. Gyurdzhan A. 9. Karaev D. 42. Kirillov Y. (C) 3. Marugin D. 13. Pochivalin V. 18. Tananeev D.
Substitutes
18. Burmistrov N. 37. Chirkov M. 16. Karabashev N. (G) 89. Lazarev V. 5. Maslov P. 29. Nikitin K. 7. Pisarskiy V. 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 9. Shushenachev A. 15. Suslov K. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)	14. Abdullaev S. 11. Apekov R. 7. Ayukin R. 6. Kozlov I. 16. Kuptsov I. (G) 17. Lauk M. 81. Melnikov N. 24. Platon A. 77. Platon N. 10. Zashchepkin R.
Coaches
Moreno R.	Akhmetzyanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Kozhemyakin O. ↓, Suslov K. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Meleshin P. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Kravtsov K. ⚽,
43', Bart R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Kirillov Y. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
56', Abramov A. ↓, Apekov R. ↑,
67', Bart R. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
67', Meleshin P. ↓, Pisarskiy V. ↑,
69', Pochivalin V. ↓, Ayukin R. ↑,
69', Karaev D. ↓, Lauk M. ↑,
79', Gorelov P. 🟨,
79', Kravtsov K. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', Fartuna B. ↓, Platon N. ↑,
90+1', Magal R. ↓, Maslov P. ↑,
90+1', Kramaric M. ↓, Lazarev V. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).

Sochi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches KAMAZ is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sochi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sochi is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sochi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian Cup
27.11.24	Sochi - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
22.11.24	Sochi - Ufa	5:2 ✺
17.11.24	Tyumen - Sochi	0:1 ✺
08.11.24	Rotor - Sochi	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWTW
- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
24.11.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	KAMAZ - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	KAMAZ - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Ufa - KAMAZ	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	KAMAZ - Sochi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.10.24	KAMAZ - Sochi	1:0

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