Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)


	Rotor		Sochi

	1	X	2
	3.66	3.17	2.19
	3.48	3.24	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.13)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
26.5%

Draw
29.6%

Sochi
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.8%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Rotor - Sochi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 57. Bolotov E. 24. Maltsev M. 9. Morozov V. 27. Pliev Z. 19. Plotnikov N. 12. Prishchepa D. 28. Semenov A. 5. Shumskikh A. (C) 10. Sokolov I. 18. Tyurin V.	35. Degtev A. (G) 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 4. Litvinov V. 17. Makarchuk A. 5. Maslov P. 11. Meleshin P. 29. Nikitin K. 7. Pisarskiy V. 21. Saavedra I.
Substitutes
2. Dudkin K. 7. Kamlashev D. 31. Kasimov T. 77. Kotov P. 23. Lavrishchev D. 99. Litvenok I. (G) 95. Lutsev A. 17. Shilnikov G. 3. Shvetsov M. 97. Talikin D. 6. Zavezen Y.	59. Bart R. 18. Burmistrov N. 37. Chirkov M. 16. Karabashev N. (G) 89. Lazarev V. 28. Magal R. 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 9. Shushenachev A. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.	Moreno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Maslov P. 🟨,
21', Semenov A. 🟨,
33', Nikitin K. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Nikitin K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Maltsev M. ↓, Lavrishchev D. ↑,
58', Sokolov I. ↓, Kasimov T. ↑,
58', Bolotov E. ↓, Talikin D. ↑,
69', Morozov V. ↓, Zavezen Y. ↑,
69', Plotnikov N. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
70', Pisarskiy V. ↓, Shushenachev A. ↑,
71', Maslov P. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
71', Nikitin K. ↓, Lazarev V. ↑,
78', Kasimov T. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Kasimov T. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
85', Meleshin P. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
90', Litvinov V. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotor won 0.

Recent matches Rotor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sochi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sochi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sochi have a series of home games.

Sochi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rotor won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Rotor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
02.11.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rotor	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Ufa - Rotor	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Rotor - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Rotor - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
07.10.24	Sokol Saratov - Rotor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTW
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
03.11.24	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.24	Sochi - Spartak Kostroma	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
27.10.24	KAMAZ - Sochi	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Sochi - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.24	Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
14.09.24	Sochi - Rotor	0:0
Russian Premier League
07.05.21	Sochi - Rotor	2:1
22.08.20	Rotor - Sochi	1:2
Russian FNL
14.11.18	Sochi - Rotor	4:2
04.08.18	Rotor - Sochi	1:1
Russian PFL South
23.04.17	Sochi - Rotor	3:3
02.10.16	Rotor - Sochi	4:1

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