Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 19

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Karpov Y. (Rus)


	Tyumen		Sochi

	1	X	2
	5.09	3.8	1.72
	4.89	3.74	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↓ (5.03)	3.77 ↑ (3.6)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tyumen
19%

Draw
25.2%

Sochi
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

26.1%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

24.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Tyumen - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tyumen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sochi will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 5. Poroykov S. 30. Shavlokhov D.	16. Karabashev N. (G) 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 28. Magal R. 17. Makarchuk A. 11. Meleshin P. 29. Nikitin K. 7. Pisarskiy V. 21. Saavedra I. (C) 15. Suslov K.
Substitutes
2. Kalugin N. 20. Kenfak O. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 90. Mokaev I. 27. Petukhov I. 10. Savinov A. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.	59. Bart R. 37. Chirkov M. 89. Lazarev V. 4. Litvinov V. 88. Makarov A. 5. Maslov P. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 9. Shushenachev A. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G) 27. Zaika K.
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Moreno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Magal R. 🟨,
29', Poroykov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Karpov D. 🟨,
55', Maryanov A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
56', Korotaev A. 🟨,
59', Petrov M. 🟨,
62', Nikitin K. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
75', Meleshin P. ↓, Shushenachev A. ↑,
75', Poroykov S. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
75', Kulishev A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
75', Magal R. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
85', Korotaev A. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
90+1', Karpov D. 🟨,
90+4', Kenfak O. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, Bart R. ⚽,
90+13', 🟨,
90+13', 🟨,
90+14', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Recent matches Tyumen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sochi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sochi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tyumen have a series of home games.

In this match Sochi is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
10.11.24	Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:4 ✺
03.11.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
29.10.24	Tyumen - Amkar Perm	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
26.10.24	Tyumen - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:1 ✺
21.10.24	Tyumen - Torpedo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWL
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
08.11.24	Rotor - Sochi	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.24	Sochi - Spartak Kostroma	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
27.10.24	KAMAZ - Sochi	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Sochi - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
01.09.24	Sochi - Tyumen	3:0
07.04.19	Sochi - Tyumen	1:1
19.09.18	Tyumen - Sochi	2:1

Upcoming Matches