The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sochi 57.8%
Draw 25.2%
Ufa 17%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.6%
24.2%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
23.2%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Sochi - Ufa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 44. Stojic N. 33. Marcelo Alves 4. Litvinov V. 27. Zaika K. (C) 6. Kuzmin M. 66. Metsiev A. 17. Makarchuk A. 8. Ignatov M. 28. Magal R. 9. Fedorov Z.
31. Belenov A. (C) 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 14. Agapov I. 5. Kutin D. 2. Cherov V. 11. Yakuev M. 6. Tarba Z. 8. Isaev S. 9. Lipovoy D. 88. Ageyan M. 10. Gongadze G.
Substitutes
59. Bart R. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 39. Lantrat M. (G) 11. Meleshin P. 60. Nosatiy M. 5. Osipov A. 97. Pasevich R. 7. Sheydayev R. 85. Silev D. (G) 3. Soldatenkov A.
23. Akhatov D. 7. Davlitgereev A. 99. Evdokimov A. 15. Khabalov A. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 70. Ortiz D. 17. Ozmanov D. 20. Shipunov T. 22. Yusupov Z.
Coaches
Osinkin I.
Tetradze O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Metsiev A. 🟨,
19', Magal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Kuzmin M. 🟨,
48', Agapov I. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Fedorov Z. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Kuzmin M. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
64', Metsiev A. ↓, Kozhemyakin O. ↑,
70', Ageyan M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
70', Gongadze G. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
75', Fedorov Z. ↓, Meleshin P. ↑,
76', Ignatov M. ↓, Sheydayev R. ↑,
79', Yakuev M. ↓, Davlitgereev A. ↑,
80', Isaev S. ↓, Yusupov Z. ↑,
89', Mitrov T. 🟨,
90', Litvinov V. ↓, Soldatenkov A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5.
In recent outings, Sochi has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ufa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ufa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Sochi for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Sochi has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:11 (averaging 2.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sochi against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:4 goals (averaging 2.3:1 per game).
Belarus
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Mitrov T. (G) 
Stojic N. 
Marcelo Alves 
Pasevich R. 
Sheydayev R. 
Ortiz D. 
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