Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Socuéllamos		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.25
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.82	3.05	2.32
	2.81	3	2.18
	2.66	3.19	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3	2.25
	3.03	3.08	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.95)	3.07 ↑ (2.96)	2.32 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Socuéllamos
31.9%

Draw
29.2%

Navalcarnero
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.3%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30.9%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Verdu J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Socuéllamos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Socuéllamos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Navalcarnero	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.26	Alcalá - Socuéllamos	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Socuéllamos - Elche Ilicitano	2:5 ✺
15.02.26	Socuéllamos - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Orihuela - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Socuéllamos - Getafe B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLWTW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.26	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Orihuela - Navalcarnero	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Navalcarnero - Intercity	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Tenerife B - Navalcarnero	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Navalcarnero - Socuéllamos	1:0
12.02.23	Navalcarnero - Socuéllamos	1:3
25.09.22	Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.02.17	Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero	2:2
02.10.16	Navalcarnero - Socuéllamos	3:1

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