Match Info
Premier League - Round 24Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
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Sofapaka |
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Nairobi United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.15 |
2.98 |
1.9 |
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 |
4.18 |
3.12 |
1.91 |
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 |
4.35 |
2.96 |
1.91 |
 Watch |
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4.2 |
2.8 |
1.85 |
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4.06 |
3.23 |
1.91 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.19 ↑
(3.31) |
3.02 ↓
(3.06) |
1.9 ↓
(2.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sofapaka
21.8% | Draw
30.2% | Nairobi United
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nairobi United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nairobi United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sofapaka - Nairobi United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Osanya ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 10).Sofapaka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Nairobi United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Nairobi United will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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