The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kakamega Homeboyz 49.8%
Draw 28.6%
Sofapaka 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
26.2%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
25.4%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kakamega Homeboyz's form might have worsened.
Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sofapaka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sofapaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Thiongo P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Batambuze S. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 2.
Homeboyz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sofapaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Homeboyz is the obvious favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Homeboyz won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
Watch
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