Match Info
Premier League - Round 21Date: 2 March 2026, Monday
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Mara Sugar |
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Sofapaka |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.82 |
3 |
4.35 |
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 |
1.71 |
3.3 |
4.67 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.01 |
4.11 |
 Watch |
 |
1.75 |
3 |
4.5 |
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 |
1.7 |
3.18 |
5.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.82) |
3.1 ↓
(3.21) |
4.54 ↑
(4.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mara Sugar
50.8% | Draw
29.2% | Sofapaka
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mara Sugar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+4%)Mara Sugar - Sofapaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mara Sugar will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mara Sugar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Mara Sugar (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mara Sugar (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Cheruiyot D. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, Imbusia A. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 1, Ntamba M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).In recent matches, Mara Sugar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Sofapaka has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Mara Sugar is considered a favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 28.10.25 | Sofapaka - Mara Sugar | 2:2 | | 01.03.25 | Sofapaka - Mara Sugar | 1:1 | | 24.11.24 | Mara Sugar - Sofapaka | 1:1 |
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