Match Info
Premier League - Round 22Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sofapaka |
|
Police FC |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.75 |
3.15 |
1.72 |
|
 |
4.74 |
3.13 |
1.72 |
|
 |
5.11 |
3.27 |
1.69 |
 Watch |
 |
4.8 |
2.9 |
1.75 |
|
 |
5.01 |
3.15 |
1.71 |
|
 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
2.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↑
(3.22) |
3.08 ↑
(2.95) |
1.81 ↓
(2.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sofapaka
19.8% | Draw
29.6% | Police FC
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Police FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Police FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sofapaka - Police FC Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Police (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Koutiama Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 2, Omar A. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.Sofapaka has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Police has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Police might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 | Police FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Last Results with these Odds
Police FC - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 05.11.25 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 1:0 | | 02.02.25 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 1:1 | | 06.11.24 | Sofapaka - Police FC | 1:1 | | Kenyan FKF Cup | | | 27.04.24 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 4:0 | | Kenyan Premier League | | | 20.04.24 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 2:1 | | 21.10.23 | Sofapaka - Police FC | 1:0 | | 10.05.23 | Police FC - Sofapaka | 3:0 |
|
Bet รยฃ10 and get รยฃ30 in Free Bets
