Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna		Avia Świdnik

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.75	1.65
	4.07	3.87	1.74
	4.09	4.15	1.65	Watch
	4	3.6	1.67
	3.96	4.06	1.72	Watch
	5.4	4.7	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (5.4)	4.02 ↓ (4.7)	1.63 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
21.4%

Draw
22.7%

Avia Świdnik
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

18.9%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

18.4%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avia Świdnik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avia Świdnik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Avia Świdnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Zuber M. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Serwinski S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Recent performances by Kolbuszowa Dolna have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Avia Świdnik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Avia Świdnik is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kolbuszowa Dolna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12:12	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.04.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Star Starachowice	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Cracovia 2 - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:4 ✺
27.03.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wisłoka Dębica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWWL
- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Avia Świdnik	1:4 ✺
04.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Avia Świdnik - Cracovia 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0

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