Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 18

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Sokół Sieniawa		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	5.14	4.47	1.45
	5.14	4.47	1.45
	5.15	4.5	1.46	Watch
	4.85	4.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (4.25)	4.41 ↑ (4)	1.47 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Sieniawa
17.8%

Draw
20.5%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

22.9%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

22.1%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Sieniawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siarka Tarnobrzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Sieniawa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Sokół Sieniawa - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sokół Sieniawa won 1.

Sokół Sieniawa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sokół Sieniawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Siarka Tarnobrzeg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sokół Sieniawa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Sokół Sieniawa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Sieniawa
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.11.23	Wiązownica - Sokół Sieniawa	3:5 ✺
12.11.23	Sokół Sieniawa - Świdniczanka Świdnik	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Avia Świdnik - Sokół Sieniawa	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Sokół Sieniawa - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:4 ✺
20.10.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Sieniawa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.11.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Wieczysta Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisłoka Dębica	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Unia Tarnów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.08.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Sokół Sieniawa	2:0
13.03.22	Sokół Sieniawa - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:3
14.08.21	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Sokół Sieniawa	5:1
17.04.21	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Sokół Sieniawa	2:1
09.09.20	Sokół Sieniawa - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0
18.08.19	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Sokół Sieniawa	2:0

Sokół Sieniawa - Siarka Tarnobrzeg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide