Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 11

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Referee: Panin I. (Rus)


	Sokol Saratov		Sochi

	1	X	2
	5.07	3.6	1.74
	4.8	3.55	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (3.58)	3.58 ↑ (3.34)	1.74 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Saratov
19.2%

Draw
26.5%

Sochi
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.1%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

27.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sokol Saratov's form might have worsened.

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sochi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sokol Saratov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sochi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sokol Saratov - Sochi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kosarevskiy P. (G) 56. Chobanov R. 23. Churikov I. 13. Ivanov D. 55. Maksimenko A. 27. Molodtsov A. (C) 20. Poluboyarinov D. 7. Samko V. 77. Sasin D. 22. Yuzepchuk R. 28. Zabelin P.	35. Degtev A. (G) 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 29. Nikitin K. 7. Pisarskiy V. 21. Saavedra I. 9. Shushenachev A. 15. Suslov K. 27. Zaika K.
Substitutes
11. Babaev V. 8. Dudiev A. 69. Ermolin R. 88. Guz A. 59. Kaplenko N. 92. Karpitskiy E. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 6. Mokshin I. 10. Saaduev S. 9. Shpitalnyi V. 51. Sinyak A.	59. Bart R. 18. Burmistrov N. 16. Karabashev N. (G) 89. Lazarev V. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 17. Makarchuk A. 88. Makarov A. 5. Maslov P. 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)
Coaches
Baga A.	Moreno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Molodtsov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Nikitin K. ↓, Burmistrov N. ↑,
57', Suslov K. ↓, Maslov P. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Marcelo Alves ⚽,
65', Molodtsov A. ↓, Kaplenko N. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Samko V. ⚽,
77', Shushenachev A. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
77', Saavedra I. ↓, Litvinov V. ↑,
77', Sasin D. ↓, Shpitalnyi V. ↑,
77', Maksimenko A. ↓, Karpitskiy E. ↑,
77', Zaika K. ↓, Safronov I. ↑,
79', Marcelo Alves 🟨,
86', Safronov I. 🟥,
89', Poluboyarinov D. ↓, Saaduev S. ↑,
89', Yuzepchuk R. ↓, Babaev V. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Burmistrov N. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Sochi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sokol Saratov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
15.09.24	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
09.09.24	Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	2:2 ✺
18.08.24	Sokol Saratov - Ufa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTTL
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
14.09.24	Sochi - Rotor	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Sochi	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Sochi - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Ufa - Sochi	3:4 ✺
18.08.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sochi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.02.19	Sochi - Sokol Saratov	3:0
03.02.17	Sochi - Sokol Saratov	1:0

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