Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 7

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Saraev I. (Rus)


	Ufa		Sochi

	1	X	2
	3.87	3.32	2.06
	3.73	3.34	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.58)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
24.9%

Draw
28.5%

Sochi
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-2%)

Ufa - Sochi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baklov O. (C) 9. Adaev V. 88. Ageyan M. 27. Anisimov A. 18. Gurenko A. 62. Karpov V. 5. Kutin D. 11. Lozhkin V. 21. Matskharashvili N. 97. Pasevich R. 38. Zakharov G.	16. Karabashev N. (G) 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 89. Lazarev V. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 17. Makarchuk A. 29. Nikitin K. 7. Pisarskiy V. 21. Saavedra I. (C)
Substitutes
40. Chernov A. (G) 93. Garaev V. 10. Gystarov R. 8. Isaev S. 72. Mullin K. 22. Shavaev A. 47. Ushakhin L.	59. Bart R. 18. Burmistrov N. 37. Chirkov M. 23. Guarirapa S. 24. Khezhev A. 88. Makarov A. 33. Marcelo Alves 1. Rudakov M. (G) 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 15. Suslov K. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)
Coaches
Kharlachev Y.	Moreno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Pisarskiy V. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Ageyan M. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Adaev V. ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, Lozhkin V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Litvinov V. ↓, Suslov K. ↑,
46', Magal R. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
46', Lazarev V. ↓, Guarirapa S. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, Kozhemyakin O. ⚽,
77', Matskharashvili N. ↓, Shavaev A. ↑,
77', Adaev V. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
81', Kravtsov K. ↓, Makarov A. ↑,
82', Lozhkin V. ↓, Mullin K. ↑,
82', Bart R. ↓, Burmistrov N. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Kramaric M. ⚽,
90', Ageyan M. ↓, Garaev V. ↑,
90+2', Kramaric M. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 4, Kramaric M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ufa won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sochi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sochi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
18.08.24	Sokol Saratov - Ufa	0:1 ✺
12.08.24	Ufa - Ural	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Ufa - Tyumen	2:2 ✺
26.07.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTTL
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
18.08.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sochi	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Shinnik - Sochi	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
10.04.22	Ufa - Sochi	1:2
12.09.21	Sochi - Ufa	3:1
25.04.21	Ufa - Sochi	2:3
06.11.20	Sochi - Ufa	1:1
24.11.19	Ufa - Sochi	1:1
04.08.19	Sochi - Ufa	0:0

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