Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 9

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)

Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Sochi

	1	X	2
	3.61	3.55	2.06
	3.51	3.48	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.44)	3.52 ↑ (3.34)	2.05 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
26.6%

Draw
27%

Sochi
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.1%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

27.9%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Alania Vladikavkaz - Sochi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soldatenko R. (C) 9. Abdokov N. 19. Butaev A. 14. Chimezie W. 37. Gagloev T. 12. Gubiev E. 27. Makarov S. 76. Nafikov V. 3. Pliev K. 6. Tarba Z. 2. Tataev A.	35. Degtev A. (G) 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 17. Makarchuk A. 29. Nikitin K. 7. Pisarskiy V. 21. Saavedra I. 77. Safronov I. 15. Suslov K. 27. Zaika K. (C)
Substitutes
5. Bagaev A. 58. Isik M. 32. Karasev A. 10. Khadartsev B. 8. Khugaev A. 77. Kokoev D. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 18. Toboev T. 13. Zaseev A.	18. Burmistrov N. 23. Guarirapa S. 16. Karabashev N. (G) 89. Lazarev V. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 88. Makarov A. 33. Marcelo Alves 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)
Coaches
Tazabaev S.	Moreno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Kramaric M. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Abdokov N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Tataev A. 🟨,
66', Safronov I. ↓, Guarirapa S. ↑,
72', Gubiev E. ↓, Zaseev A. ↑,
72', Abdokov N. ↓, Toboev T. ↑,
79', Makarchuk A. ↓, Marcelo Alves ↑,
79', Nikitin K. ↓, Burmistrov N. ↑,
79', Gagloev T. ↓, Khadartsev B. ↑,
80', Makarov S. ↓, Khugaev A. ↑,
80', Butaev A. ↓, Bagaev A. ↑,
86', Zaika K. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
90+3', Chimezie W. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Alania is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sochi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Alania have a series of guest games.

Sochi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
31.08.24	Ural - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTLW
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
01.09.24	Sochi - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Ufa - Sochi	3:4 ✺
18.08.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sochi	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Shinnik - Sochi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

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