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Current Win Probability
Olimpia Zambrów 41.9%
Draw 25%
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37%
26%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
24.7%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Zambrów that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 13th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zambrów won 3.
In recent outings, Zambrów has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tomaszów Mazowiecki is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Zambrów has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:18 (averaging 2.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zambrów against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 2.2:2.2 per game).
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