Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Alberto Garcia (Resistencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Defensores de Vilelas		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.00	3.60
	1.73	3.15	4.50
	1.92	2.92	4.06
	2.01	3.08	4.03	Watch
	1.89	2.85	4.00
	1.93	2.96	4.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)	4.05 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Defensores de Vilelas
47.5%

Draw
30.2%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

29.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

32.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Vilelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Vilelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma L. (G) 5. Acevedo M. 2. Berlo B. 8. Canete G. 9. Carballo G. 4. Fernandez F. 3. Molina J. 11. Montenegro R. 10. Niz L. 7. Rios G. 6. Turraca J.	1. Gonzalez D. (G) 8. Almiron C. 10. Barlessi L. 2. Dominguez F. 3. Franco N. 6. Gallardo D. 9. Ibanez M. 5. Martinez P. 11. Molina B. 7. Pared M. 4. Ulibarri G.
Substitutes
16. Acevedo J. 18. Canario J. 13. Farias F. 12. Ferreyra M. (G) 20. Larrasabal L. 17. Moreno G. 14. Navarro L. 19. Ojeda G. 15. Vargas A.	15. Acevedo N. 12. Acuna D. (G) 16. Alarcon G. 14. Derewicki J. 19. Di Buo I. 20. Genolet L. 13. Gimenez C. 18. Maidana C. 17. Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Dominguez F. 🟨,
16', Martinez P. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Carballo G. ⚽,
45+2', Ibanez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Canete G. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, Canario J. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Larrasabal L. ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, Ibanez M. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Def de Vilelas is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Def de Vilelas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Def de Vilelas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Defensores de Vilelas	4:0 ✺
21.06.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0
13.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:2

Upcoming Matches