The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sol de Mayo 47.7%
Draw 33%
Desamparados 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
32%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
34.7%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Desamparados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
18.2%
27.3%
Sol de Mayo - Desamparados Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sol de Mayo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Desamparados will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sol de Mayo: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 15).
Sol de Mayo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Desamparados is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Sol de Mayo is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sol de Mayo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Sol de Mayo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.