Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Sol De Mayo (Viedma)


	Sol de Mayo		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.65	2.25
	3.25	2.68	2.32
	3.27	3.09	2.08
	3.61	2.65	2.41	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.04
	3.66	2.93	2.2
	3.1	2.88	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)	2.22 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de Mayo
27.2%

Draw
31.9%

Villa Mitre
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

31.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

30.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torres L. (G) 11. Amud L. 8. Dietz D. 9. Jara G. 10. Jara S. 4. Lopez S. 3. Montero I. 7. Pereira K. 6. Perez S. 5. Soria E. 2. Zalazar D.	1. Mazza J. P. (G) 5. Aguirre M. 4. Avit D. 11. Ayala V. 6. Bacigalupe S. 2. Barreto J. 10. Cordoba G. G. 7. Escobar M. 3. Olguin U. 9. Tunessi M. 8. Valeri V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Escobar M. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Jara S. ⚽,
24', 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Ayala V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Pereira K. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Cordoba E. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90', 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 3, Gomez S. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Sol de Mayo is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Villa Mitre is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sol de Mayo won 0.

Recent form of Sol de Mayo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villa Mitre is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villa Mitre might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sol de Mayo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 7:29. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sol de Mayo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Sol de Mayo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Alvarado - Sol de Mayo	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Sol de Mayo - Santamarina de Tandil	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Villa Mitre - Germinal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	2:1
15.06.25	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	2:0
12.04.25	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	0:3
09.06.24	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	0:2
30.09.23	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	0:4
02.08.23	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	4:1
11.06.23	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	1:1

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