The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cipolletti 81%
Draw 14.3%
Sol de Mayo 4.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
26.1%
11%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.8%
24.6%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cipolletti's performance.
Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sol de Mayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cipolletti that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sol de Mayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cipolletti - Sol de Mayo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ramirez G. ↓, Nunez T. ↑,
32', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Ibarra C. (Pen),
84', Garcia N. T. 🟨,
88', Almiron A. ↓, Vallejos E. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 2.
Cipolletti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sol de Mayo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Cipolletti is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Cipolletti will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cipolletti won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1:0.4).
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