The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sol de Mayo 54.8%
Draw 25.9%
Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
29.9%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
29.3%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sol de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sol de Mayo's performance.
Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sol de Mayo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sol de Mayo - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nadal J. (G) 4. Agostinelli M. 6. Lucena D. 8. Martinez M. 9. Morales H. 10. Nunez E. 3. Preciado M. 5. Quilen L. 11. Rios R. 2. Scolari J. 7. Valdebenito F.
1. Abrahin M. (G) 8. Bustamante F. 5. Diaz E. 6. Esteves I. 7. Gonzalez A. 11. Lebus N. 2. Rosales J. 10. Ruiz Sosa M. 9. Soda P. 3. Sosa E. 4. Valencia J.
Substitutes
17. Aldabe I. 18. Barry S. 20. Cellerino I. 19. Martinez C. J. 14. Mazzola N. 13. Ortiz T. 16. Reyes A. 12. Salinas B. (G) 15. Solaliga J. R.
14. Astudillo B. 15. Bustamante J. 18. Cabrera F. 13. Caro V. 12. Collado A. (G) 17. Cordoba A. 20. Gonzalez A. 19. Puliafito J. 16. Valenzuela V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟨,
16', 🟨,
18', 🟨,
22', Lebus N. 🟥,
23', 🟨,
39', Diaz E. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Cellerino I. ⚽,
56', Soda P. ↓, Bustamante J. ↑,
56', Sosa E. ↓, Valenzuela V. ↑,
56', Rosales J. ↓, Caro V. ↑,
61', Valencia J. 🟨,
66', Martinez M. 🟨,
69', Nunez E. ↓, Martinez C. J. ↑,
69', Morales H. ↓, Barry S. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Valdebenito F. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sol de Mayo won 2.
Sol de Mayo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sportivo Estudiantes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sol de Mayo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sol de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sol de Mayo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).