Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Somaspor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.65
	2.55	2.95	2.6
	2.5	3.05	2.96
	2.39	3.13	2.86	Watch
	2.41	3.28	2.77
	2.55	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.68)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	2.74 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
37.1%

Draw
29.6%

Karacabey Belediyespor
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29.7%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

27.9%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Somaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karacabey Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Somaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 0, Basaran A. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Balikci A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Somaspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karacabey Bld is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Somaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Somaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
01.02.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Somaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Somaspor - Giresunspor	4:0 ✺
15.12.24	Ankara Demirspor - Somaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTWL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
01.02.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	3:4 ✺
22.12.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.24	Konyaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
22.09.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Somaspor	2:1
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
30.11.19	Somaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1

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