Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 31

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Somaspor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	1.8	3.75	4
	2.76	3.2	2.52
	2.76	3.2	2.52
	2.55	3.24	2.47
	2.5	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.75)	3.27 ↓ (3.75)	2.76 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
37.7%

Draw
28.5%

Sarıyer
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

23.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Somaspor's form might have worsened.

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarıyer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Somaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarıyer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Somaspor - Sarıyer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Devrim C. ⚽,
69', Bulut U. (Pen),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15).

Somaspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sarıyer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Somaspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Somaspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Somaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.03.24	Denizlispor - Somaspor	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Somaspor - Menemenspor	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Igdirspor - Somaspor	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	Somaspor - Kastamonuspor	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	İnegölspor - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Sarıyer
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.03.24	Sarıyer - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
06.03.24	Kastamonuspor - Sarıyer	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Sarıyer - İnegölspor	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Fethiyespor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Sarıyer - 24 Erzincanspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
05.11.23	Sarıyer - Somaspor	1:2
26.03.22	Somaspor - Sarıyer	1:1
10.11.21	Sarıyer - Somaspor	1:1

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