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Current Win Probability
Arosa 37.3%
Draw 32.6%
Compostela 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
29%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
28.5%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Arosa - Compostela Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Guisande A. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Guisande A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 2.
Arosa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Compostela has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Arosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Watch
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