The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Somozas 42.6%
Draw 31.7%
Gran Peña 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
30.6%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
30.5%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Somozas - Gran Peña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1.
Somozas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Gran Peña has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Somozas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
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