Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Somozas		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.45	3.25	1.98
	3.28	3.39	1.98
	3.45	3.4	1.98	Watch
	3.76	3.18	1.93
	3.45	3.25	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (4.41)	3.26 ↓ (3.37)	1.97 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somozas
26.1%

Draw
27.8%

UD Ourense
46.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

26.5%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Somozas's performance.

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Somozas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Somozas - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Betanzos - Somozas	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Somozas - Polvorín	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	RC Villalbes - Somozas	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Somozas - Noia	2:2 ✺
12.10.24	Viveiro - Somozas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WLWTW
- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.24	UD Ourense - Boiro	4:3 ✺
03.11.24	Villalonga - UD Ourense	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	UD Ourense - Valladares	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Arosa - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
13.10.24	UD Ourense - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.01.24	UD Ourense - Somozas	0:0
10.09.23	Somozas - UD Ourense	0:1
05.03.23	Somozas - UD Ourense	1:0
05.11.22	UD Ourense - Somozas	3:0
24.11.19	UD Ourense - Somozas	3:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.26	UD Ourense - Leonesa	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - UD Ourense	✺

Somozas - UD Ourense