Match Info

3. Liga - Round 6

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach)

Referee: Grund F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	OneFootball TV


	Sonnenhof Großaspach		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	3.00	Watch
	2.05	4.00	3.00
	1.98	3.80	3.10	Watch
	2.07	4.18	3.23
	2.11	4.23	2.78	Watch
	1.99	4.00	3.15
	2.08	3.74	3.12	Watch
	2.09	3.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.64)	3.94 ↑ (3.7)	3.03 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonnenhof Großaspach
45.6%

Draw
23.7%

Verl
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

24.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonnenhof Großaspach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonnenhof Großaspach's performance.

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Verl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonnenhof Großaspach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Verl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sonnenhof Großaspach - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Großaspach will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reule M. (G) 8. Rahn E. 15. Aidonis A. 25. Nuraj A. 21. Molinari L. 16. Kunde M. 5. Celiktas V. (C) 10. Stoppel L. 27. Maier L. 11. Rossmann T. 18. Pollex N.	1. Schlieck T. (G) 34. Berner J. 22. Konig N. 5. Seidel N. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 8. Waidner D. 18. Wessig F. 20. Leipold A. 21. Clausen M. 7. Farouk A. 25. Heike T.
Substitutes
4. Bleicher F. 23. Eisele F. 9. Fass M. F. 36. Gashi M. 20. Maier L. 6. Mistl C. 33. Schulz T. (G) 19. Uhl M. 13. Zografakis N.	26. Foti A. 11. Kaube M. 14. Lehmann P. 30. Mesanovic A. 17. Otto Y. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 23. Rabihic K. 27. Vogler F. 10. Yalcinkaya B.
Coaches
Reinhardt P.	Shala O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Heike T. ⚽, Leipold A. (A),
22', Waidner D. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Celiktas V. 🟨,
60', Farouk A. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
70', Pollex N. ↓, Zografakis N. ↑,
70', Celiktas V. ↓, Mistl C. ↑,
75', Berner J. ↓, Vogler F. ↑,
75', Leipold A. ↓, Kaube M. ↑,
75', Wessig F. ↓, Mesanovic A. ↑,
76', Otto Y. 🟨,
79', Heike T. 🟨,
80', Stoppel L. ↓, Eisele F. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Eisele F. ⚽, Rossmann T. (A),
90', Rossmann T. ↓, Fass M. F. ↑,
90', Kunde M. ↓, Bleicher F. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Verl has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10:13	-3	10
17	Grossaspach	8	2	2	4	7:14	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Verl - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German 3 Bundesliga
12.09.26	TSV Havelse - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Hoffenheim II	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Ingolstadt	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 penalties ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Meppen - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWLWL
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
12.09.26	Verl - Meppen	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Verl	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Verl - Fortuna Köln	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Verl - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Verl - Duisburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

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