Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Maceratese		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.87	5.06	Watch
	1.48	3.9	5.92
	1.9	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.9)	3.71 ↑ (3.35)	4.79 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maceratese
55.9%

Draw
24.9%

Castelfidardo
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

25.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maceratese's performance.

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castelfidardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maceratese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelfidardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maceratese - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Maceratese is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	San Marino Calcio - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Maceratese - Atletico Ascoli	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Termoli - Maceratese	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Maceratese - Ancona	1:5 ✺
19.10.25	Notaresco - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTLL
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	Castelfidardo - UniPomezia	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Chieti - Castelfidardo	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Recanatese - Castelfidardo	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Castelfidardo - Ostia Mare	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	San Marino Calcio - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLL

Maceratese - Castelfidardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide