Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 12Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castelfidardo |
|
UniPomezia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.20 |
3.32 |
2.96 |
Watch |
 |
2.21 |
3.2 |
2.97 |
|
 |
2.21 |
3.25 |
2.95 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (2.12) |
3.26 ↓ (3.45) |
2.96 ↓ (3.04) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castelfidardo 41.3% | Draw 28% | UniPomezia 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)UniPomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Castelfidardo - UniPomezia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Palestini R. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Della Pietra V. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 2, Giannini M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 2 - 3, Della Pietra V. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).Castelfidardo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).UniPomezia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Castelfidardo will hold a modest advantage in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;