Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 16Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castelfidardo |
|
Fossombrone |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.3 |
2.42 |
|
 |
2.62 |
3.53 |
2.33 |
 Watch |
 |
2.54 |
3.28 |
2.41 |
|
 |
2.6 |
3.25 |
2.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.53) |
3.34 ↓
(3.39) |
2.4 ↓
(2.43) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castelfidardo
35.2% | Draw
27.1% | Fossombrone
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+0.1%)Castelfidardo - Fossombrone Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fossombrone (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Gallo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).Castelfidardo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Fossombrone is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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