Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Sortland		Harstad

	1	X	2
	6.8	7.01	1.21
	3.71	5.27	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (3.71)	6.14 ↑ (5.27)	1.4 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sortland
17.8%

Draw
15.2%

Harstad
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

17.4%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

16.6%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sortland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sortland's form might have worsened.

Harstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sortland than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sortland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harstad than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Gjerde T. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Johnsen N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 3, Celius U. R. ⚽,
85', 0 - 4, Lindquist F. (Pen),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Sortland is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Harstad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sortland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Harstad is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sortland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sortland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sortland IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
11.10.25	Sortland - Gamle Oslo	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Sortland - Skjervøy	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ulfstind - Sortland	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sortland - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Ullern - Sortland	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTL
- Harstad
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
12.10.25	Harstad - Alta 2	6:0 ✺
05.10.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2 - Harstad	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Harstad - Ulfstind	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Gamle Oslo - Harstad	2:4 ✺
07.09.25	Frigg Oslo - Harstad	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
31.05.25	Harstad - Sortland	4:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
20.10.18	Harstad - Sortland	3:1
22.07.18	Sortland - Harstad	3:2
Norwegian NM Cup
26.04.17	Harstad - Sortland	0:1 ET

Sortland - Harstad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide