Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	South Georgia Tormenta		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.27	3.95	2.63
	2.28	3.95	2.63
	2.29	3.58	2.56	Watch
	2.28	3.65	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.96)	3.71 ↑ (3.57)	2.59 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Georgia Tormenta
40.2%

Draw
24.6%

Lexington
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Georgia Tormenta's form might have worsened.

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Georgia Tormenta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

South Georgia Tormenta - Lexington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parker F. D. (G) 14. Akoto N. 6. Stretch C. 25. Dengler J. 23. Kilwien P. 10. Pedro Fonseca 19. D'Almeida T. 30. Doyle C. 11. Khoury J. 17. Rodriguez G. 21. Spengler P.	1. Causey A. (G) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 20. Chica D. 15. Patti A. 8. Yankam Y. 25. Mane P. 10. Onen J. 9. Liadi A. 17. Lancaster C. 7. Cano I.
Substitutes
18. Brooks E. 3. Ramos J. 12. Romig A. (G) 8. Steedman D. 16. Tunbridge M. 9. Vivas S. 7. Watson N. 15. Wehner A.	14. Balogun K. 77. Brown N. 23. Campuzano N. (G) 6. Caputo A. 12. Corrales J. 5. Fox K. 2. Robertson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Rodriguez G. ⚽,
13', Yankam Y. 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, Pedro Fonseca (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Dengler J. 🟨,
62', Cano I. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
62', Mane P. ↓, Caputo A. ↑,
63', Rodriguez G. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
63', Pedro Fonseca ↓, Watson N. ↑,
66', Onen J. 🟨,
68', Kilwien P. 🟨,
72', Doyle C. 🟨,
74', Khoury J. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
75', D'Almeida T. ↓, Steedman D. ↑,
76', Patti A. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
76', Liadi A. ↓, Balogun K. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Vivas S. ⚽,
82', Spengler P. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
84', Ramos J. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Georgia Tormenta
US Open Cup
03.04.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Savannah Clovers	4:0 ✺
USL League One
30.03.24	One Knoxville - South Georgia Tormenta	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Richmond Kickers - South Georgia Tormenta	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Central Valley Fuego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWTL
- Lexington SC
USL League One
29.03.24	Lexington - Greenville Triumph	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	One Knoxville - Lexington	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.24	Vermont Green - Lexington	4:3 ✺
USL League One
15.03.24	Lexington - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Lexington - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
02.07.23	Lexington - South Georgia Tormenta	1:5
10.06.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Lexington	1:1
15.04.23	Lexington - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1

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