The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Georgia Tormenta 38.1%
Draw 27.9%
Forward Madison 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
27.3%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
26.6%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forward Madison could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pack A. (G) 6. Stretch C. 23. Rasheed M. 26. Kasanzu J. 16. Tunbridge M. 22. Doyle C. 8. Gabriel Cabral 58. Jimenez O. 10. Gray T. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 9. Vivas S.
1. Schipmann B. (G) 77. Brown N. 2. Chilaka M. 13. Temitayo E. 16. Crull J. 25. Sousa F. 24. Bartman N. 8. Boyce D. 6. Murphy J. 9. McLaughlin G. 19. Galindrez J.
Substitutes
19. Bazini Y. 71. Bwana H. 14. Drey A. 29. Gottlieb B. 13. Jones S. (G) 4. Nare T. 11. Nyandjo J. 17. Pray K. 28. Walker A.
80. Angking I. . Boltz D. 11. Garcia C. 36. Lapsley W. (G) 5. Mehl T. 10. Mesias A. 3. Viader D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Boyce D. (Pen),
17', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,
30', Tunbridge M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽, Vivas S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Boyce D. 🟨,
57', Doyle C. 🟨,
63', Bartman N. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
63', Boyce D. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
63', McLaughlin G. ↓, Boltz D. ↑,
64', Tunbridge M. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
68', Temitayo E. 🟨,
71', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Bwana H. ↑,
71', Vivas S. ↓, Nyandjo J. ↑,
71', Sousa F. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
71', Temitayo E. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
81', Gray T. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
81', Doyle C. ↓, Drey A. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Bwana H. ⚽, Bazini Y. (A),
84', Reid-Stephen N. 🟨,
87', 4 - 0, Rasheed M. ⚽, Nyandjo J. (A),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Tormenta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tormenta has had a series of away games.
Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tormenta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Forward Madison - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.