Match Info

USL League One

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Richmond, VA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Richmond Kickers		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.42
	2.5	3.6	2.52
	2.53	3.53	2.53	Watch
	2.64	3.21	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.33)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)	2.53 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Kickers
36.5%

Draw
26.9%

South Georgia Tormenta
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Richmond Kickers - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Richmond Kickers (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Richmond Kickers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jara P. (G) 4. Fitch S. 25. Lage M. 16. Cela K. 5. Schenfeld M. 2. Barnathan D. 27. O'Dwyer C. 10. Seufert N. 19. Espinal D. 7. Johnson L. 9. Kirkland J.	1. Pack A. (G) 58. Jimenez O. 23. Rasheed M. 26. Kasanzu J. 3. Gabriel Alves 6. Stretch C. 8. Gabriel Cabral 7. Reid-Stephen N. 16. Tunbridge M. 22. Doyle C. 19. Bazini Y.
Substitutes
3. Anderson H. 6. Baer R. 20. Billhardt A. 38. Garnett G. 14. Guilherme Diniz 34. Howell B. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 32. Terzaghi E. 17. Vaughan J.	71. Bwana H. 10. Gray T. 13. Jones S. (G) 4. Nare T. 11. Nyandjo J. 17. Pray K. 9. Vivas S. 28. Walker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', Barnathan D. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Tunbridge M. (Pen),
31', 0 - 2, Gabriel Cabral ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Cela K. ⚽,
44', Stretch C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Johnson L. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
46', O'Dwyer C. ↓, Guilherme Diniz ↑,
62', Tunbridge M. ↓, Bwana H. ↑,
62', Bazini Y. ↓, Nyandjo J. ↑,
65', Kirkland J. ↓, Terzaghi E. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Espinal D. ⚽, Terzaghi E. (A),
73', 2 - 3, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽, Bwana H. (A),
75', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
75', Doyle C. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
81', Schenfeld M. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
81', Fitch S. ↓, Baer R. ↑,
84', Jimenez O. 🟨,
85', Jimenez O. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
89', Terzaghi E. 🟨,
90+2', Howell B. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 3.

Richmond Kickers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tormenta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Richmond Kickers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tormenta has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
09.08.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Richmond Kickers	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Richmond Kickers - Naples	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:0 ✺
USL League One
20.07.25	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLL
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
10.08.25	Westchester SC - South Georgia Tormenta	3:3 ✺
06.08.25	Naples - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Miami - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
USL League One
23.07.25	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
07.03.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers	2:4
11.10.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers	2:2
USL Cup
10.08.24	Richmond Kickers - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 penalties
25.05.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers	1:2
USL League One
23.03.24	Richmond Kickers - South Georgia Tormenta	1:3
30.09.23	Richmond Kickers - South Georgia Tormenta	0:1
27.05.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers	1:1

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