Match Info

USL League One

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	One Knoxville		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.88	3.49	3.94
				Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.7
	1.93	3.68	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	3.68 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
48.4%

Draw
26.8%

South Georgia Tormenta
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

20.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with One Knoxville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

One Knoxville - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. 3. Haugli S. 5. McLeod S. 8. Kelly-Rosales A. 21. Zarokostas S. 12. Johnson C. 17. Goling M. 11. Calixtro G. 10. Tekiela K.	1. Pack A. (G) 58. Jimenez O. 4. Nare T. 6. Stretch C. 3. Gabriel Alves 14. Drey A. 8. Gabriel Cabral (C) 16. Tunbridge M. 28. Walker A. 10. Gray T. 9. Vivas S.
Substitutes
13. Bull 7. Diene B. 14. Doyle M. 25. Garibay J. (G) 24. Lemen N. (G) 15. Martin H. 77. Rosamilia N.	19. Bazini Y. 22. Doyle C. 13. Jones S. (G) 26. Kasanzu J. 11. Nyandjo J. 41. Rasheed M. 7. Reid-Stephen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Haugli S. ⚽, Tekiela K. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Goling M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jimenez O. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
46', McLeod S. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
56', Drey A. ↓, Doyle C. ↑,
65', Gray T. ↓, Nyandjo J. ↑,
65', Tunbridge M. ↓, Reid-Stephen N. ↑,
66', Goling M. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
66', Calixtro G. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
74', Brown J. ↓, Bull ↑,
74', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
76', Zarokostas S. 🟨,
78', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
79', Nare T. 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, Diene B. ⚽, Zarokostas S. (A),
82', Zarokostas S. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
83', Rosamilia N. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 4.

One Knoxville has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tormenta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

One Knoxville could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
07.06.25	Westchester SC - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
24.05.25	One Knoxville - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
USL League One
16.05.25	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
09.05.25	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLTT
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
14.06.25	Texoma - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 ✺
USL League One
24.05.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
01.09.24	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	0:1
USL League One
05.07.24	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	0:1
30.03.24	One Knoxville - South Georgia Tormenta	1:0
23.09.23	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	1:0
01.09.23	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	1:3
21.04.23	One Knoxville - South Georgia Tormenta	0:2

Upcoming Matches