Match Info

EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yongin Citizens Sports Park (Yongin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Grandstand


	South Korea		Japan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.93
	3.25	3.45	1.92
	3.58	3.82	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.49	3.87	1.99	Watch
	2.59	3	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.62)	3.45 ↑ (3)	2.11 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

South Korea
28.6%

Draw
27.1%

Japan
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Korea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Korea's form might have worsened.

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	41.2%	52.9%

South Korea - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. South Korea will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Japan will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. South Korea (votes: 2 - 40%). Japan (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - South Korea (2.59) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - South Korea (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - South Korea (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. South Korea (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Japan (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (C) Ulsan Hyundai 15. Kim Moon-Hwan Daejeon 14. Park Seung-Wook Pohang 4. Kim Ju-Sung Seoul 3. Lee Tae-Seok Pohang 5. Park Jin-Seob Jeonbuk 6. Kim Jin-gyu Jeonbuk 23. Seo Min-Woo Gangwon 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong Gimcheon Sangmu 7. Na Sang-Ho Machida Zelvia 9. Joo Min-Kyu Daejeon	1. Osako K. (C) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16. Ando T. Avispa Fukuoka 3. Araki H. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4. Koga T. Kashiwa Reysol 2. Mochizuki H. Machida Zelvia 6. Kawabe H. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 15. Inagaki S. Nagoya Grampus 7. Soma Y. Machida Zelvia 19. Kakita Y. Kashiwa Reysol 9. Miyashiro T. Vissel Kobe 13. Germain R. Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Substitutes
24. Byeon Jun-Soo Gwangju FC 2. Cho Hyun-Taek Ulsan Hyundai 17. Jeong Seung-Won Seoul 13. Kang Sang-Yoon Jeonbuk 8. Kim Bong-Soo Daejeon 12. Kim Dong-Heon (G) Incheon 22. Kim Tae-Hyeon Jeonbuk 26. Kim Tae-Hyeon Kashima Antlers 1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) Daejeon 18. Lee Ho-Jae Pohang 20. Lee Seung-Won Gimcheon Sangmu 25. Mo Jae-Hyeon Gangwon 11. Moon Seon-Min Seoul 19. Oh Se-Hun Machida Zelvia 16. Seo Myung-Guan Ulsan Hyundai	11. Hara T. Kyoto 12. Hayakawa T. (G) Kashima Antlers 10. Hosoya M. Kashiwa Reysol 24. Kubo T. Kashiwa Reysol 5. Nagatomo Y. FC Tokyo 26. Nakamura S. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 14. Ozeki Y. Kawasaki Frontale 23. Pisano A. (G) Nagoya Grampus 21. Sato R. Okayama 8. Tanaka S. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20. Tawaratsumida K. FC Tokyo 25. Tsunashima Y. Verdy 22. Ueda N. Kashima Antlers 17. Uno Z. Shimizu S-Pulse 18. Yamada S. Kawasaki Frontale
Coaches
Hong Myung-Bo	Moriyasu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Germain R. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
10', Kawabe H. 🟨,
45', Soma Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joo Min-Kyu ↓, Lee Ho-Jae ↑,
62', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
64', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
64', Miyashiro T. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
75', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
75', Kim Jin-gyu ↓, Kang Sang-Yoon ↑,
77', Soma Y. ↓, Ueda N. ↑,
77', Kawabe H. ↓, Uno Z. ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Jeong Seung-Won ↑,
85', Germain R. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Korea won 2.

South Korea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Japan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, South Korea won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Korea
EAFF E-1
11.07.25	Hong Kong - South Korea	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	South Korea - China	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	South Korea - Kuwait	4:0 ✺
05.06.25	Iraq - South Korea	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	South Korea - Jordan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWT
- Japan
EAFF E-1
12.07.25	Japan - China	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Japan - Hong Kong	6:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Japan - Indonesia	6:0 ✺
05.06.25	Australia - Japan	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Japan - Saudi Arabia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

EAFF E-1
27.07.22	Japan - South Korea	3:0
Friendly
25.03.21	Japan - South Korea	3:0
EAFF E-1
18.12.19	South Korea - Japan	1:0
16.12.17	Japan - South Korea	1:4
05.08.15	Japan - South Korea	1:1
28.07.13	South Korea - Japan	1:2
Olympic Games - Football
10.08.12	South Korea - Japan	N/A

South Korea - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide