Match Info

NPL Victoria Women - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	South Melbourne		Essendon Royals

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.70	2.10
	2.80	3.65	2.00
	2.64	3.84	2.20
	2.74	3.75	2.2
	2.55	3.95	2.08
	2.79	3.82	2.17
	2.65	3.55	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.65)	3.75 ↑ (3.35)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
33.6%

Draw
24.1%

Essendon Royals
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

25.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Essendon Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Royals than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

South Melbourne - Essendon Royals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs: )).

Essendon Royals is Qualified for NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs )

South Melbourne is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Essendon Royals is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Essendon Royals may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Essendon Royals could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
23.08.26	Melbourne City U20 - South Melbourne	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	South Melbourne - Keilor Park	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Avondale - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	South Melbourne - Bulleen Lions	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Alamein - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLT
- Essendon Royals Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
22.08.26	Essendon Royals - Heidelberg United	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Preston Lions - Essendon Royals	1:5 ✺
08.08.26	Essendon Royals - Bentleigh Greens	5:2 ✺
25.07.26	Essendon Royals - Melbourne Victory U20	6:0 ✺
18.07.26	Melbourne City U20 - Essendon Royals	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW

South Melbourne - Essendon Royals

Match Info

Current Win Probability

South Melbourne - Essendon Royals Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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